I know the official numbers won't come out for a little while, but can anyone here put together what it might be now that the month is over?

1.26 C is my estimate for the land and ocean anomaly (see Chistropher Randles' market below), which is about 0.18 C higher than the previous record from last year:

https://manifold.markets/ChristopherRandles/global-average-temperature-june-202#hqrnnfaay0b

lookin likely

Who the !@# bet it down to 90% ???

probably a selloff? idk

Always good to bet against the climate hysteria

Cool. Be sure to use real money at Kalshi.

Cheers mate

Glad we have some common sense on this platform. FJB

Is anyone keeping track of day-to-day data?

From ERA5, yeah

Nice — I tried that but I'm not running Linux anywhere at the moment and the file format is basically impossible to wrangle without it

Another month, another bond

El Niño mit uns

8% gap between these two questions (of course this question has many more bettors).

Note though the May anomaly (gistemp LOTI) was still record breaking but was 1.14 where the previous record in 2020 was 1.01 (so not as extreme record breaking compared to previous recent months)

Blue line looks more likely than yellow line. #science

is this the daily global average temperature or by which measure?

@kuki Average global surface temperature over the course of the month. You can read more at the link in the description