Will July 2024 be the hottest July on record?
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Aug 16
48%
chance

Will resolve based on NOAA global monthly report. Usually gets released in the middle of the following month

https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/monthly-report/

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@MugaSofer you seem quite certain about this. Care to enlighten us?

@Lemming I wouldn't say certain, but I think this is overvalued, yes.

Global temperatures have been skating just barely above the previous record the past couple of months, and last month's NOAA report on the topic noted

>These temperatures occurred as the current El Niño episode nears its end. El Niño conditions that emerged in June 2023 weakened further in March, and according to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, a transition from El Niño to ENSO–neutral is likely by April-June 2024 (85% chance), with odds of La Niña developing by June–August 2024 (60% chance).

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