A duplicate of this 2024 market with a shorter fuse: /shankypanky/death-or-abdication-will-the-royal
Rumours have been swirling in the Twitterverse (and the TikTokosphere?) about King Charles: Is he dead? Is he dying? Will he imminently announce his abdication?
In February the Palace announced that King Charles had been diagnosed with prostate cancer. Reportedly his cancer was caught early and he is undergoing treatment, but he is 75 years old. He recently missed attending a ceremony, instead recording a video address, but he says he is determined to attend the Trooping the Colours event in June to commemorate the birth of the British Sovereign.
Still, anything can happen this year:
/Joshua/universal-death-market-which-public has a 23% chance of his death
/SimonGrayson/in-which-year-will-king-charles-iii is at 18% for him ceding the throne
Resolves Yes if either death (by any means) or abdication before September 8th ends in the UK.