Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says?
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resolve YES if a crewed starship that attempts to land on mars or orbit mars launches by the end of 2028
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This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Why end of 2028, instead of end of the 2028-2029 window? The rest of the comment makes clear that he's being approximate with the exact dates, and means the next two launch windows rather than the next four years.
If they launch in Jan 2029 with humans I'd consider Elon basically correct in his statement.
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