Will the CDU in eastern german states try to form a government with the far-right AfD after the next election? | Manifold

Will the CDU in eastern german states try to form a government with the far-right AfD after the next election?

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Feb 17

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Resolves the same as https://manifold.markets/timomm1978/will-the-cdu-in-eastern-german-stat#3zIlFBcXDQ9g3Hkd22ux -- See the discussion there....

Unless

shows up to clarify things....

Leaving this market closed for trading since you can trade on the other one.

Why is it closing so soon?

Probably arbitrage possible with:

/marktwse/government-coalition-following-the

/marktwse/government-coalition-following-the-a01fde06376e

/marktwse/government-coalition-following-the-786bc42a52aa

/marktwse/which-party-will-be-in-the-governme

/marktwse/which-party-will-be-in-the-governme-679c889841e7

/marktwse/which-party-will-be-in-the-governme-00435576e3b1

So this resolves yes if they form at least one coalition in Sachsen, Thüringen, or Brandenburg (the three elections in East Germany this year), no if not?

@AmadeoBordiga I would guess that it also resolves yes if they start coalition talks that go nowhere.

But anyway, this won't happen.

People are also trading

Will the broadly centrist parties still have a majority after the next German Bundestag election?

+3% 1d61% chance

Will the CDU in eastern german states try to form a government with the far-right AfD after the next election?

Will AfD win absolute majority in 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election?

Will Alternative for Germany (AfD) be part of the German government by 2026?

Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?

WIll AfD be part of a federal governing coalition in Germany by 2030?

Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?

Will AfD get 21+% in 2029 German Federal Elections?

Will AfD become the biggest party in the following german elections

Will a member of the AfD party serve as chancellor in Germany by the end of 2030?

Related questions

Will the broadly centrist parties still have a majority after the next German Bundestag election?

Will the CDU in eastern german states try to form a government with the far-right AfD after the next election?

Will AfD win absolute majority in 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election?

Will Alternative for Germany (AfD) be part of the German government by 2026?

Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?

WIll AfD be part of a federal governing coalition in Germany by 2030?

Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?

Will AfD get 21+% in 2029 German Federal Elections?

Will AfD become the biggest party in the following german elections

Will a member of the AfD party serve as chancellor in Germany by the end of 2030?

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