Wikipedia posts voter demographics for the presidential elections. Will it say that black women voted 93% or more for Harris? This resolves about 2 weeks after the election is over, to give time for the results to post
1,000
3.00Resolves to "no, 92% or lower". She got 91%. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election#Voter_demographics
@AlexanderStoddard Please note the the title and description don't match for this market. "Higher than 93%" excludes 93%, "93% or higher" includes 93%. Please clarify whether 93% resolves Yes or No, and then make the title, options, and description match.
Also, "and not Trump" in the title is redundant (unless you did it for the algorithm lol)
I wish Wikipedia had the information for Barack Obama's number by gender race/ethnicity. but sadly it seems that metric on Wikipedia is not available for races as far back as 2012. It only is visible on more recent ones.
If anyone else has a place I can see that metric for the Obama elections, I'd be curious! Obama's black vote, if it's anything to go off of, was 95% in 2008 and 93 in 2012. I wonder how high the black male vote was in that case.