Will more people vote for Kamala Harris in the 2024 Presidential election than voted for Joe Biden in 2020?
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Dave Leip's numbers will be used for resolution. According to Dave Leip, 81,286,454 people voted for Joe Biden in the 2020 Presidential election.
If more than 81,286,454 people vote for Kamala Harris in the 2024 Presidential election, this market will resolve YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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I don't think ppl realize how much of an anomaly 2020 was.
Unless you think mail-in etc. really is the new normal
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_presidential_elections_by_popular_vote_margin
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