Who will be the SPD front-runner (Spitzenkandidat) for Germany's next federal election?
Plus
19
Ṁ25142025
1D
1W
1M
ALL
42%
Olaf Scholz
43%
Boris Pistorius
15%
Context: With current Chancellor Olaf Scholz experiencing record low approval ratings and Boris Pistorius being identified as Germany's most popular politician according to recent polls, there is significant speculation regarding who the SPD will select as their front-runner (Spitzenkandidat) for the upcoming federal election.
See for example here: https://www.zdf.de/nachrichten/politik/deutschland/spd-kanzler-kandidatur-2025-muentefering-scholz-pistorius-100.html
Resolution Criteria: This market resolves to the individual officially chosen by the SPD as their Spitzenkandidat (front-runner) for the next federal election.
Note: The close date for this market may be adjusted.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related market for the CDU/CSU front-runner:
Related questions
Related questions
Which parties will form the next German federal government?
Will the radical right AfD get more votes than the social democrats in Germany's next federal election?
45% chance
NEXT PERSON TO BE ELECTED CHANCELLOR OF GERMANY?
Will Olaf Scholz remain chancellor of Germany after the next federal election?
11% chance
Which of these parties will get seats in the German Bundestag after the next federal election?
Will CDU party leader Friedrich Merz become Chancellor of Germany after the next election in 2025?
73% chance
Which parties will be part of the next ruling coalition in Germany
What share of the vote will the SPD receive in the next German federal election?
17% chance
Will die Linke win any seats in the next German federal election?
23% chance
Who will break the current ruling coalition in Germany?