Will OpenAI go back on its voluntary commitment to AISI to share major new models w/AISI prior to release?
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35%
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Resolves to YES if OpenAI stops sharing major new models with AISI prior to release, before the end of 2025. If OpenAI, or AISI, closes before EOY 2025 and the market is still open, resolves NO. Otherwise, resolves NO at market close (EOY 2025).
(Note: Open/closed status of the model is irrelevant to this market.)
See also (market heavily inspired by these):
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