Resolves to YES if OpenAI stops sharing major new models with AISI prior to release, before the end of 2025. If OpenAI, or AISI, closes before EOY 2025 and the market is still open, resolves NO. Otherwise, resolves NO at market close (EOY 2025).
(Note: Open/closed status of the model is irrelevant to this market.)
See also (market heavily inspired by these):
1,000
3.00@WilliamGunn then i don't think openai would be going back on its voluntary commitment? what do you think? may also N/A but would like to avoid it
@Bayesian "... If OpenAI, or AISI, closes before EOY 2025 and the market is still open, resolves NO. Otherwise, resolves NO at market close (EOY 2025)."
That sounds a lot like saying resolves No if the AISI is disbanded/defunded to me?
Sold my shares though - however you want to clarify is fine with me.