Will Donald Trump lead Joe Biden by at least this much in the 538 polling average at any point in July 2024?
Mini
3
70
Aug 1
82%
2 points
50%
3 points
50%
4 points
50%
5 points
33%
6 points
28%
7 points
22%
8 points
22%
9 points
9%
10 points

If Donald Trump’s polling lead over Joe Biden reaches each listed amount at any point in July 2024, the corresponding amount will resolve to YES.

Otherwise, it will resolve to NO.

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