In the next UK election (2024/25) will the turnout be at least 68.0%?
Basic
29
Ṁ2.0kJul 5
27%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Yes if turnout is greater than or equal to 68.0%
No if less than 68.0%.
I will not vote in this market
Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:
@Noit Honestly this is way too high, only one election after 1997 hit this benchmark and the base rate since Thatcher is only 50%. Given the next election is likely to see lots of CON voters stay home I don’t see how anyone is expecting peak turnout.
More related questions
Related questions
What will voter turnout be in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
UK General Election 2024 - Will Reform UK get over 6,000,000 votes?
66% chance
Will voter turnout in the 2024 US Presidential Election exceed 65%?
30% chance
UK General Election 2024 - Will Reform UK get over 4,000,000 votes?
86% chance
Will the voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 64% or larger?
56% chance
Will the voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 62% or larger?
50% chance
Will the next UK government post-election receive over 50% of votes?
20% chance