At the 2019 general election, the Liberal Democrats won 11 seats, coming fourth behind the Conservatives (on 365 seats), Labour (202), and the SNP (48). This market resolves to YES if the party comes third at the next general election (in terms of seats, not votes). Candidates elected as Liberal Democrats still count if they have been suspended from the party (like Neale Hanvey in 2019). If there is a tie for third place, the market will resolve to PROB (if two parties are tied for third, this resolves to 50%, if three are tied for third, this resolves to 33%, and so on).