What will happen before Donald Trump announces his pick for vice president
Basic
53
Ṁ11kAug 2
1D
1W
1M
ALL
99%
Juneteenth
98.9%
Fourth of July
28%
Joe Biden gets replaced
22%
This market hits 100 traders
22%
A successful coup occurs
21%
Nintendo legally goes after Palworld
20%
Donald trump tweets
18%
Bitcoin hits 80k
17%
Earthquake over 8.0 magnitude
16%
European Asian or American leader is assassinated
12%
GPT 5 releases
12%
Israel Hamas ceasefire
11%
Jimmy Carter dies
7%
A new apple iPhone releases
5%
Government shutdown
4%
Manifold reaches 2000 engaged users
1.1%
Hell will freeze over.
1.1%
Donald trump goes bankrupt
Resolved
YESEaster
Resolved
YESCinco de mayo
Anything that happens before Donald trump chooses a running mate resolves yes if Donald trump chooses a running mate before something happens it resolves no. Please add answers
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@JamesF Well this is a real place that might in fact freeze over: https://www.wunderground.com/forecast/no/hell
@TimothyJohnson5c16 Im going to go with the religious definition that most people assume when they read hell.
@simoj I would wait for things to happen but almost everything will resolve yes. ( the hell one would be N/Aed
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