Will it snow in Toronto, ON? [January 2024]
Basic
37
54k
resolved Feb 1
Resolved
NO
January 2nd (Tuesday)
Resolved
YES
January 3rd (Wednesday)
Resolved
YES
January 4th (Thursday)
Resolved
YES
January 6th (Saturday)
Resolved
YES
January 7th (Sunday)
Resolved
YES
January 8th
Resolved
YES
January 9th
Resolved
YES
January 10th
Resolved
YES
January 11th
Resolved
YES
January 12th
Resolved
YES
January 13th
Resolved
YES
January 14th
Resolved
NO
January 15th
Resolved
YES
January 16th
Resolved
NO
January 17th
Resolved
YES
January 18th
Resolved
NO
January 19th
Resolved
YES
January 20th
Resolved
YES
January 21st
Resolved
YES
January 22nd

Will it snow in January markets:
/Kable/will-it-snow-in-toronto-january-202 [This one]
/Kable/will-it-snow-in-montreal-january-20
/Kable/will-it-snow-in-st-johns-nl-january

/Kable/will-it-snow-in-halifax-ns-january

Resolves YES if any amount of snow touches the ground (including E = Estimates, and T = Trace)

Resolves NO for Total Snow 0.0cm

Resolution Criteria: Total Snow (cm) at TORONTO INTL A

https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_data/daily_data_e.html?StationID=51459

Weather Forecast:

https://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/on-143_metric_e.html

Each day can be bet on independently and can be resolved the day after.

Notes:
- Until Manifold allows setting independent close dates on multiple choice markets, I will be setting the close date for these markets to every morning at 11AM UTC. The data for the previous day is usually available by then. I will resolve the previous day and reopen the market as soon as I can get around to it every day.

- Mods: Feel free to resolve the days that have met their resolution criteria if I haven't yet and/or set the new close date a day later.

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Snowing near the city but unsure if the storm will hit it

Just wondering if you were planning on making February markets? Thank you for running these!

@kalassak Yeah I will be making them soon. Might do more and/or different cities. Have any ideas?

@Kable US Cities bordering nearby areas, like Buffalo, NY ; could be used to arb in a way too.

@SirCryptomind I am going to stick to Canadian cities to streamline the process for my own markets but don't mind if someone wants to start up some markets for whatever else.

@Kable Would like to see something out west. Edmonton? Whitehorse even maybe? (Not sure if that one has snow obs)

January 10th

Flurries and rain today, see how that ends up in the snow count.