Will Joe Biden WIN the 2024 Presidential election for Democrats?
Basic
121
Ṁ99k2025
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if Joe Biden wins the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination AND goes on to win the presidential election.
This market resolves NO if Joe Biden does not win the nomination or is nominated and goes on to lose the presidential election.
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@chrisjbillington personally I prefer non-conditional markets, so
/MartinRandall/trump-vs-biden-2024
but you need to do math to pull the conditional probability out.
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