What proportion of the electoral vote will each 2024 Presidential candidate receive?
Mini
17
แน€2337
Dec 31
0.8%
Joe Biden
46%
Donald Trump
4%
Robert F Kennedy Jr
47%
Kamala Harris
2%
Other

Including faithless electors. Will resolve to the exact proportion of votes each candidate receives.

This is a fixed-payout version of /NcyRocks/what-percentage-of-the-electoral-vo

#๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Politics
#๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 2024 US Presidential Election
#Elections
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bought แน€15 Joe Biden NO

Manifold says Biden has only ~30% chance of being the nominee, and conditional on that, he is likely to lose, so he should be at <15% here.

bought แน€10 Donald Trump YES

This resolves to (no. of electoral votes)/538, rather than the popular vote, right?

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