[SHORT FUSE] Will Israel take any degree of responsibility for the deaths of the Bibas family?
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Dec 1
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This market resolves Yes if any official Israeli government/military statement takes any degree of responsibility for the Hamas-reported deaths of the Bibas family. Saying "Hamas is ultimately responsible for all hostage deaths, but tragically it does appear one of our strikes may have hit these human shields" would resolve Yes, because it is taking more than zero responsibility for the family's death.


https://www.cnn.com/2023/11/29/middleeast/kfir-babas-israel-hamas-gaza-intl

Note that this market will close after 48 hours. This market will resolve Yes if any admission is made before July 1st, 2024. Otherwise it will then resolve No. Let's try to actually predict political things, and not just news trade!

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@traders The structure of this market ended up being a failure, in part due to inflation, but if anyone has evidence to present, this is your last chance.

predicts NO

@Panfilo resolves NO?

predicts NO

@Noit Read the description. Should only resolve in July.

If the initial report turns out to be false, will this still resolve NO?

@Shump Yes, it would then resolve No.

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