Will Jimmy Carter become a "viability centenarian"? (100 years after a 24 week pregnancy) [after mid-June 2024]
Basic
30
9.7k
resolved Jul 8
Resolved
YES

assume gestation is 40 weeks, then subtract 24 weeks for viability, so ~16 weeks before birth

[roughly June 11, 2024, backtest and figure out if he dies between June 11 and June 30]

EDIT UPDATED DEFINITIONS

https://healthcare.utah.edu/womens-health/pregnancy-birth/preterm-birth/when-is-it-safe-to-deliver#:~:text=If%20a%20fetus%20reaches%2032,as%20high%20as%2095%20percent.

Resolves to 85 percent yes at July 9. 28 weeks is 80 percent viability

If Jimmy Carter dies between July and October, he becomes the first centenarian president BY OBJECTIVE DEFINITION, there's no denying it.

[viability centenarian might be the most important definition of centenarian - babies are older than their birthdate - preterm babies are not older than babies conceived earlier but born later]

Get Ṁ600 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ69
2Ṁ49
3Ṁ29
4Ṁ28
5Ṁ21
Sort by:

HE'S UNAMBIGUOUSLY A CENTENARIAN.

Do we know when exactly he was conceived? If not, how does this resolve?

@ArmandodiMatteo assume gestation is 40 weeks, then subtract 24 weeks for viability, so ~16 weeks before birth

@ArmandodiMatteo updated q text

He became a heartbeat centenarian today