Will Humane sell X units of AI pin before 2025?
70
Ṁ11k
Dec 31
3%
X = 10,000,000
3%
X = 1,000,000
8%
X = 100,000
77%
X = 10,000
Resolved
YES
X = 1000
Resolved
YES
X = 100
Resolved
YES
X = 10
Resolved
YES
X = 1

Actual sales, not pre-orders.

Resolves YES to each option that has been satisfied, resolves NO to each option that is not.

#AI
#AI Safety
#AI risk
#Hardware
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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bought Ṁ38 X = 1000 YES

@mods X=1 to X=1,000 all seem resolvable to Yes: https://www.theverge.com/2024/8/7/24211339/humane-ai-pin-more-daily-returns-than-sales

bought Ṁ100 X = 100,000 NO

@Jacy Does this require Moderator Resolution? Since the appears to be banned.

@notarealuser yes, I expect it to be resolved by a single mod if the result is very clear or a vote of three mods if the resolution is debated, though that also depends on Manifold policy when it resolves, and Manifold is going through a lot of changes!

X = 1

resolves no if they never ship right?

reposted

Recent news: Humane to lay off 4% of their staff

@lastuserhere 25 people and they laid off one guy. Source: I'm making stuff up

@NivlacM

Much-hyped hardware startup Humane announced it’s laying off 10 employees [including CTO] — 4% of its workforce

https://techcrunch.com/2024/01/10/humane-layoffs-ai-pin-hardware/

1 is less than 1000, somehow

Is it possible for X = 0 to resolve no? I assume the numbers are referring to selling at least X, right?

@TimDuffy fixed

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