Will any LLM outrank GPT-4 by 150 Elo in LMSYS chatbot arena before 2025?
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https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard
If GPT-4.5 and reaches 150 Elo above GPT-4 market resolves yes.
If at any point any llm / chatbot reaches this threshold, market resolves yes.
I will not bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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