What will be the total number of H5N1 human cases reported by the CDC in the US at the end of 2024? [0-200] | Manifold

What will be the total number of H5N1 human cases reported by the CDC in the US at the end of 2024? [0-200]

Basic

8

Ṁ483

Jan 1

60

expected

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolve to [190-200] if the cases exceed 200.

As reported here: https://www.cdc.gov/flu/avianflu/avian-flu-summary.htm

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#Infectious Disease

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1,000

and

3.00

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There's a lot of complaining by virologists that CDC & USDA are very much not doing good work (not testing much, not labelling data properly)

I fear this question will not properly reflect the seriousness of H5N1

reposted

We're at four cases

bought Ṁ0 170-180 YES

Credible rumors by virologists that there already plenty human cases occurring, eg Vincent Racaniello on TWiV

[This Week in Virology] TWiV 1108: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin #thisWeekInVirology https://podcastaddict.com/this-week-in-virology/episode/175220681 via @PodcastAddict

Clarifying that I will resolve with the number reported at the end of the year.
Estimates sometimes shift around a bit with some delay.

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