After a 335 mission success streak, a Falcon 9 second stage failed to relight and deploy a group of Starlink satellites into the correct orbit. All are expected to be lost. The FAA is requiring an investigation.
Market resolves when Falcon 9 successfully returns to flight (local time of liftoff). No booster landing or recovery, successful or otherwise, is necessary. If F9 does not return to flight this year, market will resolve to January 2025 or later.
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@HansPeter @DavidFWatson @CharlieGarcia @ChristopherRandles As betters on the erroneous duplicate November 2024 entries, please let me know if you’d prefer me to resolve both as November or rename one to December.
@traders I made a version of this in the "on or before" format which is my personal favorite form for date / schedule questions. If there's interest I could also make a "resolves to exactly one" version.
/EvanDaniel/by-when-will-the-next-falcon-9-heav