How Many States Will Manifold Correctly Predict During the 2024 Presidential Election?
Plus
31
แน6513Jan 2
0.4%
45 or less
0.2%
46
98.4%
47
0.5%
48
0.3%
49
0.3%
50
Using the individual state markets at https://manifold.markets/politics
Using the odds for each state at 11:59 PM PST on November 4, 2024.
Resolves to the exact number of states in which the Manifold favorite in each state received a plurality of the popular vote in the Presidential Election.
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Final Manifold map! PA is democratic and NV is republican if that was unclear. Election day is today (EST)!
@traders
Limit orders on YES placed at 49 and 50, if you're interested @Daniel_MC.
By the way @vibhav I really like this market. Would you mind if I create a numeric version of it (of course you can too)? Think that it would be cool but don't want to steal your idea!
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