Basic
218
αΉ€89k
Nov 6
56%
Biden never drops out
3%
July 12
3%
July 14
3%
July 8
1.8%
July 9
1.7%
July 10
1.4%
July 11
1.4%
Other
1.1%
July 15
1%
August 10
1%
July 16
1%
July 31
1%
July 21
1%
July 22
1%
July 23
1%
July 30
1%
July 17
1%
July 24
1%
July 27
1%
July 28

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race on the specified date.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Joe Biden and/or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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What if he doesn't want to step down but is removed via 25th Amendment or by the DNC? Does that invalidate this market or does it resolve as the date that happens?

Resolves on the date that happens

July 12
bought αΉ€50 July 12 NO

@DismalScientist What's the significance of July 12?

bought αΉ€50 July 12 YES

@DismalScientist Surely you mean "on the specified day" rather than "by the specified time"? Seeing as how the choices are linked...

Yes, just updated

bought αΉ€500 July 10 YES

It's either this week or never.

bought αΉ€200 Answer #0m5skg7erv NO

Can we start resolving days as NO?

I just tried to do this but could not figure out how to. Are you sure this is possible?

What if die?

If you die this market should be your last concern :)

Thank you for your response. What if Biden dies?

I would count that as dropping out

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