What happens if Biden wins 2024 elections? [unlinked, add your answers]
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90%
Trump refuses to accept the result.
87%
The U.S. has a higher World Press Freedom Index in 2028 than 2024.
75%
He has a higher approval rating, according to 538, at the end of his second term than he did at the end of his first term. (if 538 stops existing, use the best available source instead)
72%
Biden serves full second term
66%
Republicans win a majority in the Senate in 2026.
62%
Ukraine war reaches a ceasefire that is observed for 1 year
56%
The S&P 500 will be above 5000 at the end of 2024
51%
Republicans win a majority in the House in 2026.
49%
The U.S.'s democracy index, as measured by the Economist Intelligence Unit, goes down by at least .1 from 2024 to 2028.
28%
Trump runs for president again in 2028.
11%
He gets impeached during his second term.
1%
Does not relinquish power at end of term, if still living
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