Who will run in the Republican primary for President (2024)?
Mini
20
14k
2025
14%
Vivek Ramaswamy
13%
Chris Christie
12%
Asa Hutchison
12%
Tim Scott
12%
Doug Burgum
12%
Ron Desantis
12%
Nikki Haley
12%
Mike Pence

This market resolves to the set of given answers that are running for the nomination, weighted equally.

If the RNC holds public debates, it will resolve to the candidates that make it to any debate at least once. If these debates are split into a major and minor group, it will resolve only to those who make the major group at least once.

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bought Ṁ1,000 Donald Trump NO

This is really silly, but Trump doesn’t count by market description. Not only did he not go to any debates, he didn’t qualify for any of the debates since he didn’t sign the loyalty pledge

Here is a market for who will win primaries:

@BTE "please clap"

@BTE if I could short this I would

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