Will Israel withdraw from the West Bank by 2050?
Basic
23
Ṁ2.3k2050
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves to YES if Israel (either civilian judicial systems or the military) has jurisdiction over less than 5% of the land area of the West Bank (as defined by the 1949 armistice) at any point before 2050.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will Israel dismantle any settlements in the West Bank before the end of 2035?
61% chance
Will Israel recognise a Palestinian state by 2030?
36% chance
Will Israel occupy Gaza on a semi-permanent or permanent basis before 2025?
73% chance
Will Israel still exist in 2100?
75% chance
Will Israel create any new settlements by the end of 2035?
72% chance
Will Israel ethnically cleanse the Gaza strip of more than 100,000 Palestinian civilians by 2025?
26% chance
[Metaculus] Will Israel recognize Palestine by 2070?
45% chance
Will Israel attempt to make Gazans leave "voluntarily" in 2024?
61% chance
Will a western country put sanctions on Israel by the end of 2025?
33% chance
Will Israel have an election before 2025?
19% chance