Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before 2030?
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18%
chance
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Resolves YES if Donald Trump spends any positive amount of time in prison while serving a sentence. It doesn't count if he is held while awaiting trial or sentencing. House arrest also doesn't count, it must be an official prison. However, it DOES count if he is held in prison awaiting execution or similar.
Resolves NO if the above hasn't happened before 1 Jan 2030, 0000hrs UTC.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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