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Manifold AI
Newsweek
Donald Trump raises red flag on AI: "So scary"
Former President Donald Trump called AI maybe "the most dangerous" thing out there.
Scott Alexander
Plus
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
49%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
2067
Ṁ5540
Semiotic Rivalry
Plus
Will a specific AI image or video model be mentioned by anyone in a presidential debate in 2024?
2%
chance
35
Ṁ1000
~deleted~
Plus
Will the left/right culture war come for AI before the end of 2024?
11%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
170
Ṁ1515
Matthew Barnett
Plus
Will AI be a major topic during the 2024 presidential debates in the United States? (please read criteria)
NO
2847
Ṁ6895
Vox
President Biden’s new plan to regulate AI
The White House spells out its vision for governing the powerful technology.
Arky
Plus
In 2028, will AI rank at least as high as abortion on Gallup's poll of America's most important problem?
54%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
56
Ṁ1000
Nathan Scott ♠︎
Plus
If Trump is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms?
61%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
86
Ṁ6703
Nathan Scott ♠︎
Plus
If Biden is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms?
N/A
43
Ṁ6615
Semiotic Rivalry
Plus
Will Xi Jinping publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
21%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
22
Ṁ1000
See more questions:
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