๐Ÿ—“๏ธ2024 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (64 DONE)
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76
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Jan 1
65%
Last game of the MLB World Series ends
66%
EOD Halloween - Oct 31
67%
USA presidential election is called by the AP & NYT
68%
MLB rookie of the year announced
69%
Cy Young award winner announced
70%
EOD Thanksgiving - Nov 28
71%
Twitter releases a Peer to Peer payment system to free or premium users
72%
Skibidi Toilet ends their original series
73%
Ark Survival Evolved 2 releases
73%
Prong.Studio releases a 3rd product (not an accessory or part for an existing one)
75%
Chat GPT 5 releases to the general userbase
75%
this market reaches 100 traders
75%
Israel and Hamas announce another temporary ceasefire OR permanent ceasefire OR conflict otherwise ends
76%
Legally Blonde 3 releases
78%
From Software announces a new game AND it has a released trailer
78%
windows 12 announcement is made
79%
Skate 4 releases
80%
Imu face reveal in One Piece manga
81%
earthquake 8.0 or larger in the world
83%
Joseph Anderson releases long awaited Witcher 3 video

README: Each answer will resolve to a percent as they happen, starting with 1% for the first event and working upwards:

  • 1st event: 1% (happens soonest)

  • 2nd event: 2% (happens next)

    ...

  • 100th event: 100% (happens latest)


Any events that do not happen by EOY 2024 will be resolved 100% YES.

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Last game of the MLB World Series ends
bought แน€1 Last game of the MLB... NO

@strutheo the Dodgers did the entire world a favor and beat the Yankees.

bought แน€10 Answer #74123a37ee2d NO

@strutheo He uploaded a new video earlier today

Looks like
61 Nobel peace prize winner announced 11 Oct
https://www.nobelpeaceprize.org/articles/nobel-peace-prize-2024-announcement
the ceremony is not til Dec but it is announcement that counts.
62 Rivals of Aether 2 released 23 Oct
https://store.steampowered.com/app/2217000/Rivals_of_Aether_II/

Other could slip in earlier than these so could be higher but probably should expecting at least these to happen:
63 First game of MLB world series 26th Oct
64/5 Halloween 31 Oct
64/5 Last game of MLB world series 30th Oct - 3 Nov
66+? Election called if not tight 6th Nov
67+? Rookie of the year mid Nov
68+? Cy Young mid Nov
69+? Thanksgiving 28 Nov
70+? Boxing day 26 Dec

bought แน€7 Answer #d77c204fe00e NO

Edited - didn't see the list below.
Up to 58% is resolved, and 59 and 60 need to be resolved.
Paging @strutheo

@DanielTilkin been struggling with the api/slowness all day

bought แน€75 Answer #4ba6da296490 YES

@strutheo No worries, just wanted to make sure you saw it.

sold แน€0 Answer #4ba6da296490 YES

@strutheo

I'm doing my part!

@strutheo
Iphone release and frostpunk 2 both on 20 Sept.
I believe frostpunk 2 was 10am PDT (saw a countdown time) and while I don't know but would guess iphones could be collected earlier. Store opening time EST?

@ChristopherRandles yea i am counting iphone first

opened a แน€5 Answer #d241f305e8bb NO at 57% order

@strutheo
So 55 iphone
56 Frostpunl 2
and
57 Hurricane John 4th pacific hurricane
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDEP5+shtml/232049.shtml

@strutheo
55 iphone Sept 20
56 Frostpunk 2 Sept 20
57 Hurricane John 4th pacific hurricane Sept 27
58 Second solar eclipse Oct 2

or is there anything else before these?
(I assume Rivals of Aether 2 early access beta weekend from September 27-29 doesn't count)

@strutheo
55 iphone Sept 20
56 Frostpunk 2 Sept 20
57 Hurricane John 4th pacific hurricane Sept 27
58 Second solar eclipse Oct 2
59 EOD Leif Erikson day Oct 9
60 SpaceX 100 launches Oct 15

or is there anything else before these?
(I assume Rivals of Aether 2 early access beta weekend from September 27-29 doesn't count)

@strutheo So resolvable we have:

52% 3rd Pacific hurricane, Hone, 25 Aug

Iphone reveal 10th, but officially releases 20 Sept, so not yet?

53% 4th Atlantic hurricane, Francine 10 September
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/al06/al062024.public_a.009.shtml?

bought แน€1 Answer #a7626b37ad12 YES

looks like frostpunk is also sept 20 but i will count iphone first since they have preorders and such open, and frostpunk wont release until later in the day possible

bought แน€2 Answer #647daf717f77 NO

@strutheo ^ hasn't been resolved.:
East Pacific Carlotte & Gilma and Central Pacific Hone
Just noting this again from Aug 24th before iphone release.

reposted

over halfway done!

jective intensity estimates from 
UW-CIMSS range from 61-68 kt.  Based on these subjective and 
objective intensity estimates, the initial intensity is bumped up to 
65 kt, making Gilma the second hurricane of the 2024 East Pacific 
hurricane season.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDEP2+shtml/210849.shtml

@strutheo
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/ERNESTO.shtml?
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/al05/al052024.discus.012.shtml?
1100 AM AST Wed Aug 14 2024
Based on these data, Ernesto is upgraded to a 65-kt hurricane.

@strutheo
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/#03E
reports Hurricane Carlotte so NHC will very probably report this before this hour is up.

https://store.epicgames.com/en-US/p/world-of-goo-2
still says coming soon but timing could be hard to pin down later and it might be available elsewhere already?

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
...CARLOTTA BECOMES A HURRICANE...

Yeah world of goo is confusing me too I might na it if I can't find the date

can buy now. (was "coming soon" when NHC said hurricane Carlotte)

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