![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FAlexandreK%252F7b8ac786b49c.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
Will Russian forces take Vuhledar in 2024?
Basic
14
Ṁ3892025
66%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if there is broad consensus that the armed forces of Russia control all of Vuhledar within its official administrative limits, for at least 24 consecutive hours, at any point before the end of 2024.
If that has not happened by the 1st of January, 2025 (local time), it resolves to NO. In case there is any ambiguity at that point as to whether the town is fully under Russian control or contested, a delay of 7 days will be added to ascertain what the exact status of the town was on the last 24 hours of 2024.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will Russia mobilize at least 100k more soldiers before the end of 2024?
45% chance
Will Russia control Chasiv Yar on september 1st 2024
37% chance
Will Russia start another major wave of mobilization in 2024
28% chance
Will Vladimir Putin step foot in Ukraine by the end of 2024?
28% chance
Will Russia implement a major nationwide forced military mobilization for the Ukraine war before EOY 2024?
28% chance
Will Russia open new front in 2024?
26% chance
Will Russia propose a ceasefire in 2024?
55% chance
Will Ukrainian forces attempt to retake Crimea in 2024?
15% chance
Will there be an attempt of a large-scale Russian offensive by 2026?
76% chance
Will Russia take Poltava by EOY 2028?
23% chance