Election Derivatives: What will Trump's Manifold odds be the day before the election?
Basic
46
Ṁ6.6kNov 6
1D
1W
1M
ALL
5%
<30%
1.6%
30-34.9%
3%
35-39.9%
4%
40-44.9%
8%
45-48.9%
9%
49-50.9%
21%
51-54.9%
19%
55-59.9%
10%
60-64.9%
7%
65-69.9%
12%
>70%
This derivatives market will be evaluated by the average price of the Donald Trump yes over the 24 hours from 12:00am to 11:59pm on November 4, 2024, eastern time, of the 2024 US Presidential Election candidate market on Manifold created by @Jack.
If that market is removed or otherwise broken, an equivalent market at the top of the US Politics page will be used, or another market I announce.
Daily average is used to increase the cost of market manipulation.
Get Ṁ600 play money
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