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Life in 2040
Zander
Isaac King
Will an asteroid be mined for minerals before 2040?
48%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Space
#
Business
178
Ṁ2.8k
Stan Pinsent
Will there be an AI CEO by 2040?
49%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
AI
#
Business
161
Ṁ1.4k
kian_spire
Will a woman be elected as the President of the United States before the end of 2040?
70%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Politics
#
US Politics
135
Ṁ2k
Matthew Barnett
Will a robot be created that can fully substitute for a plumber before January 1st, 2040?
40%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
AI
152
Ṁ1k
Matthew Barnett
Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2040?
90%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
AI
#
Coffee
#
The Coffee Test
80
Ṁ1.2k
Юрий Бурак
Will AI become a strategic geopolitical weapon by 2040?
90%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
AI risk
#
AI
#
Technology
51
Ṁ1k
Bolton Bailey
Will any fusion reactor project demonstrate engineering breakeven before the end of 2040?
70%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Fusion Energy
#
Nuclear
50
Ṁ1k
MadCloud101
By 2040, will AI be capable of creating a working Manifold clone to a prompt?
59%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Technology
#
AI
#
Technical AI Timelines
42
Ṁ1k
Tom Killestein
Will a fully autonomous, Level 5 self driving car be available for purchase in the US by the year 2040?
76%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Science
#
Technology
#
AI
43
Ṁ1k
Patrick
By the year 2040, will the US military integrate a bipedal humanoid robot, similar to Boston Dynamics' Atlas, into its arsenal?
69%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Economics
#
Wars
#
World
37
Ṁ1k
CelebratedWhale
Will most digital entertainment be AI generated by 2040?
53%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Big Tech
#
Entertainment
#
Augmented Reality
42
Ṁ1k
Carson Gale
Will there be a high-speed rail between LA and SF by the end of 2040?
43%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
California
#
Carson's Important Markets
#
California High-Speed Rail Project
37
Ṁ1k
RedderThanEver
Will anti-aging treatments developed, approved and available for public usage by 2040?
74%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Medicine
#
Health
#
Science
36
Ṁ1k
Federico
Will there be a robot caregiver that can take care of a person 80+ years old w/o assistance by end of 2040?
80%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
AI
#
Robotics
#
Technical AI Timelines
31
Ṁ1k
Matthew Barnett
Will a complex nanoscale self-replicating assembler be developed before 2040?
46%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Technology
33
Ṁ1k
Isaac King
Will solar become the primary source of electricity in the US before 2040?
54%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Energy
#
Electric Grid
34
Ṁ1k
Victor Li
Will any country implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2040?
66%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Politics
#
Technology
#
Economics
32
Ṁ1k
Eva Bermudez
Will a major country achieve complete carbon neutrality by 2040?
61%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Climate
29
Ṁ1k
Hayden
Mini
How many people worldwide will be living primarily underground in 2040?
16m
#
Human population crisis
24
Ṁ1k
Ansel
Mini
What will the total off-Earth human population be at the end of 2040?
200
#
Space
24
Ṁ1k
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