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US Election
Manifold Politics
Jack
Crystal
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
54%
Donald Trump
Yes
No
22%
Joe Biden
Yes
No
14%
Kamala Harris
Yes
No
3%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
See 17 more answers
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2024 US Presidential Election
#
US Politics
#
Politics
3805
แน2.1m
Prize Market
Manifold Politics
Plus
Will Trump beat Biden in national polling at the beginning of July? (538)
98%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Polling Averages
#
US Politics
#
Politics
641
แน52k
Brian T. Edwards
Plus
Will Republicans take the majority in the US Senate in 2024?
80%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
2024 US Election
#
US Congressional Elections 2024
#
US Politics
296
แน12k
Lars Doucet
Plus
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
22%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
2024 US Presidential Election
#
The Life of Biden
#
Global Macro
5272
แน50k
Lisa Marsh
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2024 elections?
43%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
US Politics
#
US Congressional Elections 2024
#
2024 Matt Yglesias Predictions
192
แน1.5k
Manifold Politics
Trump vs Biden Odds: Will Republicans lead in the Election Betting Odds party average on July 13th?
95%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Politics
#
2024 US Presidential Election
#
US Politics
63
แน2k
Joshua
Plus
Biden vs Trump Polling Average - When will Biden retake the lead? (RCP Currently Trump +2.4%)
77%
Not before Election Day
Yes
No
8%
August
Yes
No
5%
October 1st - Election Day, November 5th
Yes
No
4%
September
Yes
No
See 7 more answers
#
US Politics
#
Politics
#
2024 US Presidential Election
535
แน12k
Manifold Politics
Biden vs Trump Polling Average - When will Biden retake the lead? (538)
100%
96%
June
0.1%
May
3%
July
0.1%
August
See 3 more answers
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Trump
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US Politics
#
2024 US Presidential Election
66
แน2.2k
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