Trump Trial

#Trial of the Century

'That was a lie!': Trump's lawyer gets heated during questioning of former fixer Michael Cohen

NBC News

Michael Cohen will be back on the witness stand to continue facing off against Donald Trump's defense as the historic criminal case against the former president nears an end.

When will Trump’s Hush Money trial end?

67%

Before Memorial Day Weekend [May 24th]

70%

By the end of May [May 31st]

80%

By the end of National Donald Duck Day [June 9th]

89%

By the end of Spring [June 20th]

See 1 more answer

What will happen in the courtroom during Trump's Manhattan trial? [ADD ANSWERS]

62%

Jury deliberations will take at least three days

45%

The jury will find Trump not guilty of at least one of the 34 felony counts

30%

The defense will ask that Trump be charged with a misdemeanor instead of a felony

29%

Joe Biden will be mentioned

Judge finds Donald Trump in contempt for 10th time over gag order and threatens jail time | CNN Politics

Judge Juan Merchan has found former President Donald Trump in contempt for violating the gag order in his hush money trial for the 10th time and said he’ll consider jail time going forward.

Will Trump be sentenced to prison for violating a gag order?13% chance

Hush money trial judge raises threat of jail as he finds Trump violated gag order, fines him $9K

Donald Trump has been held in contempt of court and fined $9,000 for repeatedly violating a gag order that barred him from making public statements about witnesses, jurors and some others connected to his New York hush money case.

Will Donald Trump be convicted of a felony before the 2024 presidential election? [ACX 2024]70% chance

Highlights from Day 1 of Trump’s hush money trial during jury selection

#Metaculus

Latest news and updates on Trump's hush money trial, with jury selection beginning today. Witnesses included Stormy Daniels and Michael Cohen.

Will any of the Trump Hush Money trial jurors have their identities leaked during the trial?28% chance

Which of Trump's 12 Jurors will leave the Jury next?

#Law & Order

76%

None of the 12 jurors leave.

11%

Juror 2: A man who works in investment banking and lives in Hell's Kitchen. Follows Trump, Michael Cohen and Kellyanne Conway on social media. Believes Trump has done some good for the country, but that he can be an impartial juror.

Juror 9: A woman who is a speech therapist, gets news from CNN and likes reality TV podcasts. Said “he was our president. Everyone knows who he is,” adding that when he was in office “everyone was kind of talking about politics."

Juror 6: A young woman who lives in Chelsea and works as a software engineer. She gets news from The New York Times, Google, Facebook and TikTok. She said she probably has different beliefs than Mr. Trump, but that “this is a free country.”

Will Trump be convicted with a felony or misdemeanor by August 1, 2024?

76%

Felony

Misdemeanor

20%

No judgment (acquittal, mistrial, delay)

A Complete Guide to the Manhattan Trump Election Interference Prosecution

Just Security

A comprehensive guide on what to expect at Donald Trump's landmark criminal trial in Manhattan for his alleged falsification of business records and hush money arrangement in 2016 presidential election.

Will Donald Trump's Stormy Daniels/Hush Money felony trial conclude before Election Day 2024?90% chance

#Politics

#US Congressional Elections 2024