🌭What will happen in July 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
Basic
70
13k
Aug 1
99%
UK general election
99%
Eliezer Yudkowsky is alive for the entire month
98.2%
Eliezer Yudkowsky remains unwavering that the probability of AI annihilation is greater than or equal to 95%
98.2%
at least one xkcd comic with no stick figures in it
96%
trump announces vice president running mate
88%
trump files appeal in nyc case
84%
Hottest July on record
82%
Female vice presidential nominee
81%
Salt Lake City selected to host 2034 Winter Olympics
80%
100F temperature recorded in DC
67%
noam chomsky AND jimmy carter alive at end of month
63%
Kamala Harris attends the Olympics
63%
nvidia is largest company by market cap at end of month
61%
Tadej Pogacar wins Tour de France
60%
United States women's soccer team wins all three group stage matches
57%
Attendance at Paris opening ceremony exceeds 500,000, as reported by the organizing committee (and if no report is made, falling back to a report by the city of Paris)
53%
King Charles attends the opening ceremony
52%
a sitting congressperson or governor announces retirement
51%
claude haiku 3.5 releases
51%
Notre Dame reconstruction 100% complete of the cathedral exterior

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:

Here's a chart of the previous AGI polls. I think that the answer for 31% will be exceeded this month.

Oh no i accidentally predicted Elizer would die, guess i have no choice now...

Female vice presidential nominee
sold Ṁ6 Female vice presiden... NO

@SteveSokolowski Is this counting Kamala Harris for the Democrats?

It wasn't intended to.

reposted

upgraded

reposted

next up!

@Lorelai This resolves yes only of Fico dies of the shooting?

reposted

get your head start on june and july!

@SteveSokolowski if you want to keep adding answers super far in advance thats fine, but i am also going to NA some of the obvious/boring ones so there are enough slots for other people to add

@strutheo actually no, i feel like some of these can go in their own market (like a bunch about the republican convention )

More related questions