Ding v. Gukesh

The 2024 World Chess Championship is being held Nov 25 - Dec 15 in Singapore. Defending champion Ding Liren faces challenger Gukesh D!

S Sweepcash Market
Resolved
NO
Gukesh plays 1. e4
Resolved
NO
Someone does not castle before move 15
Resolved
YES
The sum of the numerical part of both first moves <= 9 e.g 1.g3 h5 = 8
Resolved
YES
Ding will be the first one to have 15+ minute think between the moves
59%
Average game length of the first half of the match is less than the second half
17%
At least 6 decisive games
50%
Even number of wins (excluding tiebreaks)
67%
Ding wins exactly 1 game in the classical part of the match
0.8%
0
33%
1
41%
2
17%
3
74%
e4
33%
d4
4%
c4
6%
Other
99.2%
four or more draws
99%
A player loses a game on time (doesn't include not showing up to the game)
95%
five or more draws
93%
six or more draws
0.7%
0
0.7%
½
0.7%
1
0.7%
0.8%
Decided after 8 (or fewer) games
0.9%
Decided after 9 games
0.9%
Decided after 10 games
1.7%
Decided after 11 games
0.6%
0
32%
1
43%
2
19%
3
36%
e4
60%
d4
14%
c4
6%
Other
63%
1. e4
62%
French Defense 1. e4 e6
56%
Ruy Lopez - Morphy 1. e4 e5 2. Nf3 Nc6 3. Bb5 a6
51%
Italian 1. e4 e5 2. Nf3 Nc6 3. Bb4
See more questions:
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules